[CPSI NewsAlert: ETT Considering Dropping HK Listing - Source]

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Erdenes Tavan Tolgoi mulls dropping Hong Kong portion of USD 3bn IPO

January 6 (FT, source: dealReporter) Erdenes Tavan Tolgoi, the Mongolian company developing the world’s largest untapped coking coal deposit, is considering dropping the Hong Kong portion of its USD 3bn initial public offering, two sources familiar with the situation told dealReporter.

“In the last several rounds of regular meetings with Tavan Tolgoi’s executives, they have shown less interest in a Hong Kong IPO and seem likely to drop the Hong Kong listing proposal,” one source close to the deal said. The company was planning to simultaneously float in London, Hong Kong and Mongolia as soon as late March.

Even the Hong Kong stock exchange is “not very keen” on the offering, as they think it will be a tough sell to investors skeptical of foreign mining stocks, the source added.

“I wouldn’t be surprised if they drop the Hong Kong portion, as it doesn’t make sense for them to commit huge resources but only reap a little benefit,” he said.

The source pointed to the case of Swiss commodities trader Glencore International [805:HK], which drew a lukewarm response from Hong Kong retail investors on its dual listing in Hong Kong and London last year. Glencore had set aside as much as 10% of the deal for Hong Kong retail investors, but the weak response forced the company to allocate only 2.7% of the offering to them, he said. Glencore’s shares are down about 26% on both exchanges since the May 2011 IPO.

Tavan Tolgoi was expected to garner even less interest from Hong Kong retail investors since Glencore was a better known name, the source said.

State-controlled Tavan Tolgoi is still trying to make the Hong Kong portion of the deal happen, but it is looking increasingly difficult as the listing process in Hong Kong is more difficult than London, a second source said.

The main hurdle is the Mongolian government’s recent decision to give Tavan Tolgoi shares to Mongolian citizens for free in February, ahead of the original schedule, the source said. The Hong Kong exchange has restrictions on companies bringing in new investors in the months leading up to their floatation, he said. Bankers and lawyers are still analyzing the implications of the move, he said.

In 2010, Chinese private-equity firm New Horizon Capital bought a 9% stake in Sihuan Pharmaceutical [460:HK] a few months before its Hong Kong listing. However, the Hong Kong bourse objected to the timing of the deal and asked them to unwind it.

There was a debate for some time about which location was most appropriate for Tavan Tolgoi’s primary listing, another source close to the deal said. London has now become the more attractive of the listing options, although the deal is big enough that listing on two international markets simultaneously is possible, the source said.

Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank, BNP Paribas and Macquarie are arranging the offering. Erdenes Tavan Tolgoi did not respond to a request for comment.

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